Matt Yglesias

Mar 30th, 2009 at 6:15 pm

The Obama Auto Plan

1967mustangcoupe1_1.jpg

It’s taken me all the way until the end of the day to actually digest the day’s big story—the Obama administration’s new auto industry plan. The first thing to say about this is that unlike a lot of other things that have raised the cry of “socialism!” this really sort of is socialism. You have the President of the United States firing the CEO of General Motors, and simultaneously ordering Chrysler to pursue a process of selling itself to Fiat. The administration is wisely trying to avoid an extended period of state-directed management of industrial firms producing consumer goods, but that’s certainly the situation they’re in at the moment and it’s something we ought to try to bring to an end as soon as possible.

My understanding of the Chrysler portion of the deal is basically that if Chrysler and Fiat can’t come to terms within 30 days, then Chrysler is going to enter into a Chapter 7 liquidation process at which point Fiat could buy whatever it wants. Consequently, Fiat is likely to be able to extract favorable terms on whatever deal they reach. General Motors, meanwhile, is in effect being put into a debtor-in-possession bankruptcy. They haven’t technically been put in such a scenario, but the firm’s restructuring plan has been rejected and the panel is offering a 60 period in which to put together a more radical restructuring featuring haircuts from bondholders and labor unions and dealers. This is basically what would happen in a DIP bankruptcy. The thinking is that given current conditions in the economy and the credit markets it wouldn’t be possible to arrange that through the private sector, so a bankrupt GM would need to be liquidated rather than reorganized. The government is stepping in to, instead, facilitate reorganization.

In both cases, these seem like economically reasonable courses of action. It’s important to note, though, that if these plans work it doesn’t seem like they’ll especially achieve what people would ideally like to see. The American auto industry isn’t really going to be “saved.” General Motors is going to shrink radically, and Chrysler’s production facilities will basically become “transplant” factories of an Italian firm. In job terms, the auto industry is going to continue to shrink as a source of employment. In particular, the Chrysler-Fiat merger scenario is consistent with massive job losses in the United States since it’s not obvious how many Americans Chrysler would really want to employ. If GM succeeds in getting out of a lot of its debt obligations, the resulting company isn’t going to be well-positioned to expand when the broader economy recovers since it’ll be hard to borrow on favorable terms. And the “good jobs” nature of blue collar work in the auto industry is going to further erode.

Long story short, this looks like an economically responsible way to avoid a cataclysmic implosion of these firms at an inopportune moment. But this isn’t going to prevent the conditions facing the population of Michigan from further deteriorating. That state more-and-more looks like it’s going to be the 21st century version of the Great Depression’s Dust Bowl. The most important policy question facing us in this regard thus continues to be what can be done to help the people of the Rust Belt that doesn’t just involved indefinitely propping up shrinking firms. The first step is simply to turn around the shrinkage in the larger economy, but the question will remain even if recovery reaches the rest of the country.

Filed under: Cars, Economy,





73 Responses to “The Obama Auto Plan”

  1. 24AheadDotCom Says:

    this really sort of is socialism

    MattY’s IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII
    scale scale scale scale
    scale scale scale
    scale scale
    scale

    Maybe we can take up a collection to buy MattY a few winter coats for the train ride.

    But, seriously, what could happen with MI is the development of some sort of industry other than cars.

  2. Hector Says:

    Re: The first thing to say about this is that unlike a lot of other things that have raised the cry of “socialism!” this really sort of is socialism.

    No, it isn’t. The name for this kind of practice is ‘intervention’, and it’s a common temporary gambit in capitalist economies, particularly in Latin America. The government temporarily assuming control over an industry for a short-term crisis period, does not equal socialism.

  3. max Says:

    The administration is wisely trying to avoid an extended period of state-directed management of industrial firms producing consumer goods, but that’s certainly the situation they’re in at the moment and it’s something we ought to try to bring to an end as soon as possible.

    Certainly. That’s why countries persuing which have state ownership and industrial policy, such as Germany (Volkswagon, etc.), Italy (Fiat), Japan (all of them), South Korea and China (every company they), have all the sucky jobs manufacturing cars, instead of good jobs in finance and journalism. Industrial policy just doesn’t work.

    Long story short, this looks like an economically responsible way to avoid a cataclysmic implosion of these firms at an inopportune moment.

    Well, yes. This just accelerates the process the US has undegone over the last twenty years. The empire continues to liquidate the basis of industrial power by selling it off to other countries and using the cash to keep the upper class in good jobs, in finance and journalism. They’re just doing it in such a way achive the goal of twenty years without getting all those blue collar workers that vote Democrat mad at them.

    The most important policy question facing us in this regard thus continues to be what can be done to help the people of the Rust Belt that doesn’t just involved indefinitely propping up shrinking firms.

    Well, you can send them to Harvard, so they can get good jobs in finance and journalism. (And not to forget the think tanks!)

    max
    ['The Randroids should be happy. Well, happier, since we continue to move along the road to reducing the bulk of the population to subsistiance wages, which will make things a lot cheaper for people who live in DC and need servants.']

  4. flavortext Says:

    The first thing to say about this is that unlike a lot of other things that have raised the cry of “socialism!” this really sort of is socialism. You have the President of the United States firing the CEO of General Motors, and simultaneously ordering Chrysler to pursue a process of selling itself to Fiat.

    We nationalized the auto industry and forced them to make those decisions? When did this happen?

  5. JT Says:

    Now that the US guv’ment is guaranteeing the GM warranties we need to begin training auto workers as repair persons. More Stimulator!
    Sorry MamaObama but your garden has to go, we gotta put the White House grease pit somewhere.
    And MmmmmMmmmmMmmmm, bet Barry is gonna be hot hot hot in those greasy sweat stained strategically torn overalls.
    ObaDaddy!
    Damn but this socialism thing is looking better and better…

  6. Everyone Says:

    Shut the fuck up, Lonewacko.

  7. Jonah Says:

    I’m of two minds on this one…

    On one hand, the fact that the Michigan/Rust Belt economy has been for so many decades based almost solely on automobiles has sort of set the area up for this kind of crisis–it is, in a way, a long-drawn-out “car bubble.” Lack of a diversified economy tends to subject the people of a state or region to greater suffering in bust times, as their singular source of prosperity falters and they have nothing to fall back on. Furthermore, the people running these companies have done an outstandingly poor job keeping up with the progress that has taken place in the industry elsewhere in the world, and have acted–again in the bubble mentality–as though their short-term formula for success would last forever. They messed up big time, and have to pay the price–unfortunately, so do their employees.

    Which brings me to the other hand. I have to agree with the voices of rage in the blogosphere who compare the government’s handling of Detroit with that of Wall Street and notice that the latter is getting off quite easily while the former seems to be getting a pretty raw deal. The injustice is magnified by the fact that while losing one’s job at an investment bank is a setback, losing one’s job at an auto plant is a ticket to poverty. While the banks have gotten some sweet deals from their former colleagues in Washington, the auto workers’ union seems to be regularly blamed for a lot of things that can’t entirely be their fault. Is it class warfare? Possibly. After all, historically speaking, such crises never impact the wealthy as deeply as the working class, and heaven knows the government doesn’t really work for the common man to the degree it claims.

    On the third hand, these people are going to lose their jobs regardless. Still, it’s pretty criminal that Wagoner is getting a $20 million retirement package while the little guys are being forced to give up their pensions and health insurance. Yeah, it’s class warfare. As usual.

    Bourgeois scum.

  8. pseudonymous in nc Says:

    this really sort of is socialism.

    No it isn’t. Really, it isn’t. GM isn’t VAZ; it isn’t even British Leyland. It is, however, reliant upon government loan guarantees right now for working capital.

  9. Everyone Else Says:

    Shut the fuck up, “Everyone.”

  10. SN Says:

    But this didn’t have to be. The Japanese in 10 years went from a reputation for crappy cars (check out the 1979 Honda Civic or Datsun cars) to the most reliable cars on the road. After getting that right, they worked on perfecting the ergonomics and feel of the car.

    Since 1990 American cars have had a reputation for falling apart after a few years. Rather than invest to try to correct that, Detroit took the easy way out revenue-wise and invested in giant cars (which they knew was a failing business model–it would die once oil prices went up).

    This government intervention is 20 years too late.

    (Drive non-expensive Detroit cars now. They still suck in feel (they feel cheap). Ford is marginally better than GM and DC.

    “On one hand, the fact that the Michigan/Rust Belt economy has been for so many decades based almost solely on automobiles has sort of set the area up for this kind of crisis–it is, in a way, a long-drawn-out “car bubble.” “

  11. scott Says:

    Yes, the Wagoner firing seems the headline but with credit to the NY Post the real headline here is “OBAMA TO CHRYSLER: DROP DEAD”.

    My guess is that Fiat is going to find lots not to like with Chrysler in the next 30 days and what you are going to see is either Ford or GM cherry pick Chrysler – the only real brand of value it has is Jeep.

  12. Francisco The Man Says:

    Christ – I can hardly see through all the stench of fucking troll in here.

    I’ve brought this up before, but really isn’t it time to consider banning some assholes from here? 24 an Ass, an obvious cut and paste blogwhore troll, would be a good start, but there are others too (Myles, JT). To a point some troll shit is acceptable and inevitable. But it gets to a point where the conversation just gets hijacked, which is of course their point.

  13. Greg Says:

    An interesting inversion. I think there was a time in the previous century when, not quite literally, the Chair/CEO of General Motors or the president of the UAW could have essentially fired the POTUS. Maybe we can achieve energy independence by hooking turbines up to my grandfather and all the other late autoworkers who must certainly be spinning in their graves…

  14. James Gary Says:

    Anyway, we’ve been doing this with the financial firms already–Wachovia, WaMu, National City, and so on all got more or less the Chrysler treatment.

    As I recall, the banks you listed got absorbed by larger banks. Who’s likely to do that for GM?

    To a point some troll shit is acceptable and inevitable. But it gets to a point where the conversation just gets hijacked, which is of course their point.

    Yeah. There’s not much point in reading the comment threads here anymore for anything involving Israel/Palestine, global warming, or any one of several topics where certain Christian-conservative commenters can churn up a froth.

  15. MattYoung Says:

    So, then, what stimulus can the federals give to the transportation industry? “Anyone” may answer.

    The auto industry is dis-equilibriated, cannot see its future, and the stimulus the federals gave GM cost about 10 grand, Obama announcing the firing of the GM CEO.

    Follow me here, now. Of course Obama spent more money, probably a couple of million in preparation, the announcement formalities probably had a variable 20 grand cost.

    So, we see here that stimulus action can often cost little, and most often do.

    The tens of billions spent was not stimulus, it was pay-off for bets gone bad.

  16. cmholm Says:

    Should I read anything into your choice of a Ford photo?

    I don’t see why a relatively debt-free GM will have any more problem getting good financing that Ford or Honda USA, a year or so down the line. With their books cleared out and their capacity chopped down to produce what they might reasonably sell, they’re as good a risk as any other big firm.

  17. Petr Says:

    цитата…

    The first thing to say about this is that unlike a lot of other things that have raised the cry of “socialism!” this really sort of is[...]…

  18. ba Says:

    Uh – hmm.

    MY again blogging above his pay grade. If Chrysler goes into Chapter 7, Fiat cannot just buy whatever it wants. Fiat might not be able to buy anything. The Chapter 7 bankruptcy trustee uses the bankrupt estate to maximize value for creditors. So…

    The primary role of a chapter 7 trustee in an asset case is to liquidate the debtor’s nonexempt assets in a manner that maximizes the return to the debtor’s unsecured creditors.

    Fiat may get nothing. It depends on who will pay the most for the desirable assets.

    Again, MY doesn’t know sh*t. surprise surprise!

  19. judd Says:

    I think the answer to all of the big threes’ problems is higher cafe standards, oh, and higher union legacy costs.

    Who in the administration is qualified to hire an auto exec?

    This is a friggin’ joke.

  20. tohjro Says:

    The most important policy question facing us in this regard thus continues to be what can be done to help the people of the Rust Belt that doesn’t just involved indefinitely propping up shrinking firms.

    Let’s relocate Fort Bragg, Fort Benning, Fort Jackson, Fort Polk, et al. from the South to the Rust Belt. Let the fine Republicans of Dixie see how long they can survive without the largesse of Uncle Sugar.

  21. cmholm Says:

    ba, given the overcapacity in the auto industry, the assumption is that there probably aren’t going to be many bidders for Chrysler’s assets. The trustee is likely to favor whoever offers a lump sum to clear most of the crap off of his driveway, rather than risk holding out to part the company out like an old ‘Cuda in hopes of a better overall net.

  22. chris Says:

    Michigan should be called the “Rust Bowl” not the “Dust Bowl”

  23. SLC Says:

    Re James Gary

    Who is Mr. Gary calling a Christian-conservative? I am neither.

  24. Jim Says:

    So if it is true, as Charley Wilson said 55 years ago that what is good for General Motors is good for the USA, does that mean the country will be filing for Chapter 11 in about 6 months? Oh right, we have a press that prints dollars while GM’s presses only make cars.

  25. SLC Says:

    Re Fiat

    Fiat stands for: “Fix it again Tony”

  26. JMG Says:

    There is a global oversupply of automobiles. But the U.S. companies, sick as they are, still have somewhere near half the U.S. market share. That’s a lot of cars. So I think Matt’s pessimism is overdone. There is still space for a large automobile industry here, just not AS large as the current one.

  27. James Gary Says:

    Who is Mr. Gary calling a Christian-conservative? I am neither.

    I am aware of that, and was not referring to you.

  28. S.P. Gass Says:

    Perhaps the new Camaro will help GM somewhat, as I understand dealers have sizable waiting lists.

  29. Roddy McCorley Says:

    You have the President of the United States… ordering Chrysler to pursue a process of selling itself to Fiat.

    I’m surprised no one caught the obvious pun: Chrysler selling itself to Fiat by fiat.

  30. Myles SG Says:

    I don’t pity Rick Wagoner. He’s been a weakling and a softie all the way. Buckling to the UAW and all that.

    The one guy who’s been doing all the tough negotiating vis-a-vis UAW was his successor, Fritz Henderson. I understand that he is known to be a hard-liner and fairly ruthless when it comes to restructuring to profitability. Which is a good thing.

    God, I suspected Wagoner was a weakling when I first saw his photo. There is just that look of sheep in his eyes. There is no wolf there, just sheep.

  31. Benny Lava Says:

    The most important policy question facing us in this regard thus continues to be what can be done to help the people of the Rust Belt that doesn’t just involved indefinitely propping up shrinking firms.

    How about give Michigan its money back? You know, the money that Michigan taxpayers send to Washington, which is quickly sent down south to Welfare states like Tennessee, Alabama, and the like? You do realize that these maligned “rust belt” states still pay more into federal taxes than they get back in federal dollars?

  32. Ed Says:

    In 1920 Michigan had a population of 3.7 million, Wisconsin had a population of 2.6 million. As of the last census, Michigan had a population of 10 million, Wisconsin had a population of 5.6 million.

    Without the auto industry, Michigan’s population will likely fall more in line with Wisconsin’s, probably down to 8 million. Minnesota and upstate New York both have populations of around 6 million. Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and upstate New York are fairly similar in terms of topography and climate.

    Its more complicated than I’m making it out, but Michigan’s decline has a ways to go and it will likely wind up as a mid-sized state. “Dust Bowl” is probably overstating things.

  33. JonF Says:

    Re: Since 1990 American cars have had a reputation for falling apart after a few years.

    Huh? That was the reputatio n American cars had in the 70s and well into the 80s. By the 90s a lot of the quality issues had been resolved, but they were still poorly designed (in regards to aesthetics and comfort) and of course way too big with poor fuel stats.

    Re: Drive non-expensive Detroit cars now.

    I own a Jeep Wrangler. Five years old, almost, and still going strong. I can think of a couple minor design issues that I would do differently, but I have no major complaints with it at all.

  34. k1 Says:

    Myles SG-

    How far has that cursory and totally superficial analysis got you in your business dealings?

    k1

  35. daveNYC Says:

    ba, given the overcapacity in the auto industry, the assumption is that there probably aren’t going to be many bidders for Chrysler’s assets.

    Especially if GM goes into Chapter 11 and starts looking to sell off stuff.

  36. Colatina Says:

    #36 is correct. “Drive non-expensive Detroit cars now…”, etc. is a decades-old evaluation. The Mustang, e.g. is non-expensive and it’s a great car. GM and Ford cars have been reliable for a while now, and presently they’re not ugly anymore either. The trucks are as good as ever. It’s only Chrysler that’s failed to produce new designs.

  37. MattYoung Says:

    OK, let’s talk Michigan. What simple low cost stimulus plans would put Michigan back on its feet?

    Michigan wants to be in the transportation business, then Michigan should loosen its traffic rules to allow innovative transportation solutions. Otherwise, some other state out west will take the lead.

  38. Benny Lava Says:

    What simple low cost stimulus plans would put Michigan back on its feet?

    Your question is incorrect. There is no simple way, nor any low cost way, to solve Michigan’s problem. Imagine that hurricanes begin to pound the coast of Florida over the next ten years with increased frequency until Miami becomes a ghost town and you begin to understand.

    Michigan wants to be in the transportation business

    Another falsehood. Michigan has attempted to transform its economy a number of times over the last thirty years. During the 80s it attempted to bring in tourist dollars with the “Yes Michigan” campaign, which had varying degrees of success and failure.

    During the 90s Michigan attempted to develop a tech corridor, trying to foster more companies like software giant Compuware to represent the next generation of Michigan.

    The plan earlier this decade was to develop a biotech corridor, to develop more pharmaceuticals like Pfiser as well as new medical technologies based on research from Michigan’s research schools.

    As I said before, what would help is if leeches like Alaska, Mississippi, New Mexico, and the like returned the money they’ve taken from Michigan over the last 7 years.

  39. Myles SG Says:

    How far has that cursory and totally superficial analysis got you in your business dealings?

    You should pop this question to the idiots who picked that weakling Wagoner in the first place, not me. I would never have picked that softie.

  40. Campesino Says:

    Francisco The Man Says:
    March 30th, 2009 at 7:24 pm
    Christ – I can hardly see through all the stench of fucking troll in here.

    I’ve brought this up before, but really isn’t it time to consider banning some assholes from here? 24 an Ass, an obvious cut and paste blogwhore troll, would be a good start, but there are others too (Myles, JT). To a point some troll shit is acceptable and inevitable. But it gets to a point where the conversation just gets hijacked, which is of course their point.

    ========================================================

    How DARE you make me read something I disagree with! I want my cocoon and I want it now!

  41. 90% tax Says:

    Regarding Fiat,

    Sergio Marchionne, CEO, total compensation $4,531,466
    and oh BTW, he is on the board of UBS AG where he gets $525,000
    and oh BTW, he is on the board of Philip Morris International

    Chairman of the Board, Luca Cordero di Montezemolo, made $7 million in 2005, but generally pulls in just $500,000/year.

    Time to claw back some $$$?

  42. Shiva Says:

    Americans have spoken loud and clear. We don’t want a Chrysler airbag sitting inches from our heads. We don’t want our children out there at night on the turnpike, driving a GM car. There are some things, like Iraq or GM, that no President can fix.

  43. tomemos Says:

    “During the 90s Michigan attempted to develop a tech corridor, trying to foster more companies like software giant Compuware to represent the next generation of Michigan.”

    I remember during the rolling blackouts in 2000 (2001?) Michigan was putting ads in the Bay Area—BART stations and the like—saying, in effect, “Here in California your business has to deal with blackouts. Come to Michigan instead!” (At least I think it was Michigan.) Anyway, I kind of doubted that would go anywhere, and I guess it didn’t.

  44. crease Says:

    Hector Says:
    March 30th, 2009 at 6:32 pm
    Re: The first thing to say about this is that unlike a lot of other things that have raised the cry of “socialism!” this really sort of is socialism.

    No, it isn’t. The name for this kind of practice is ‘intervention’, and it’s a common temporary gambit in capitalist economies, particularly in Latin America. The government temporarily assuming control over an industry for a short-term crisis period, does not equal socialism.

    Kind of like they did with the banks and financial sectors as of NOW.In the long run it`s best for GM but ultimately unionized labor will get screwed the most because alot of us don`t have any kind of college degree or any other training to fall back on.Our free trade agreements are so lopsided it`s not funny and couple our trade deficitwith it is sucking the life out of our manufacturing calabilities.Our country is 3rd from the bottom inunionized wages and yet we are number 2 in productivity behind tiny little Ireland.Health care and supervisory amd management wages is hurting our competitiveness with our top 20 trading partners.

  45. Cure for Yeast Infection Says:

    “The first thing to say about this is that unlike a lot of other things that have raised the cry of “socialism!” this really sort of is socialism. You have the President of the United States firing the CEO of General Motors, and simultaneously ordering Chrysler to pursue a process of selling itself to Fiat.”

    I think Obama is doing what he thinks is best for the auto industry.

    Cure for Yeast Infection

  46. Jim Says:

    Since when is a major creditor, the only creditor willing to keep a company afloat, dictating the debtor’s operations, socialism? Just because that creditor is the US government? If the government didn’t act like a real creditor it would be blasted for just a giveaway. Now, it acts like an actual creditor and it’s socialism. I swear, one reason the government is dysfunctional is that the citizens of this country are impossible to please.

  47. Max424 Says:

    Re: Christ – I can hardly see through all the stench of fucking troll in here.

    Francisco: I spent the last 28 years in political hibernation convinced my nation was stupid to the core and therefor, beyond repair. Given hope recently I decided to search this new medium for a glimmer of reason. What I found in this search was that only willful blindness on my part would have prevented me from finding reason on a grand scale.

    Contained in this blog and others is a kind of consistent brilliance from the citizenry I never thought existed.

    As a neophyte blogger (is that what I’m doing?) trolls (the willfully blind?) make this experience all the sweeter.

  48. anonymous Says:

    How about providing relocation assistance to Detroitans so they can move to somewhere else where there’s actually jobs? I know Obama wants to try to entice new buinesses to Detroit but why bother when there are already plenty of businesses elsewhere? Unless it’s possible to convert Detroit from Motor City to Solar & Wind City…

  49. anonymous Says:

    How about providing relocation assistance to Detroitans so they can move to somewhere else where there’s actually jobs? I know Obama wants to try to entice new buinesses to Detroit but why bother when there are already plenty of businesses elsewhere? Unless it’s possible to convert Detroit from Motor City to Solar & Wind City…
    Sorry… forgot to say great post – can’t wait to read your next one!

  50. bob h Says:

    I am hopeful that the impasse just reflects the assumption on the part of the bargainers that the government will bail them out anyway, so why make big concessions? Obama has disabused them of that.

    The only part of bankruptcy that bothers me is the pension situation. Does the inadequate Federal pension plan get stuck with it?

  51. Cyrus Says:

    The first thing to say about this is that unlike a lot of other things that have raised the cry of “socialism!” this really sort of is socialism.

    As John Cole pointed out, of course not.

    Few on the right have any problem telling welfare recipients what to do. … This isn’t the government going to Microsoft and telling Bill gates what to do. This isn’t the government coming to your profitable small business and telling you who to hire and fire. Hell, this isn’t even the government telling GM what to do in the daily operation of their business. These are companies who have made decades of bad decisions coming to the government for yet another bailout, and as a requirement, the Obama team is demanding some leadership shake-up. Not only does it make sense to get rid of the guy who has been there for the last ten years as things went down the drain, but it would be politically impossible to bail these guys out unless some changes were made.

  52. Jeffrey Davis Says:

    But, seriously, what could happen with MI is the development of some sort of industry other than cars.

    Because poverty and inertia are impossible.

  53. Jeffrey Davis Says:

    Michigan has a tourist problem. Physically, northern Michigan is a charming place. Gently rolling hills and around every bend in the road, a crystalline lake. (Thanks, Mr. Glacier!)
    But between black fly season and the cool rainy end-of-summer blahs, you’ve got a block of around 18 hours.

  54. ssa Says:

    Wagoner is the least of our worries. What about the millions of hard-working union members who will be on the streets if Obama has his way?

    http://www.sunstateactivist.org/ssablog/

  55. Njorl Says:

    MY again blogging above his pay grade. If Chrysler goes into Chapter 7, Fiat cannot just buy whatever it wants. Fiat might not be able to buy anything. The Chapter 7 bankruptcy trustee uses the bankrupt estate to maximize value for creditors. So…

    The primary role of a chapter 7 trustee in an asset case is to liquidate the debtor’s nonexempt assets in a manner that maximizes the return to the debtor’s unsecured creditors.

    Fiat may get nothing. It depends on who will pay the most for the desirable assets.

    Again, MY doesn’t know sh*t. surprise surprise!

    The point is, that Fiat (or anyone) only needs to offer more than Chrysler can get from a bankruptcy proceeding. That lowers the price Fiat has to offer. If Chrysler’s board thinks they will cut their own throat to spite Fiat, Chrysler’s creditors should try to have the board members put in jail.

  56. crack Says:

    Sorry there was a typo in the comments:

    Well, you can send them to Harvard, so they can get good jobs in finance and journalism. (And not to forget the think tanks!)

    max

    Should read:

    Well, you can send them to Harvard, so they can get good jobs in finance and journalism. (And not to forget the think tanks!)

    marx

    That said I agree with the post.

  57. Matt Fahrner Says:

    I think I’ve got to agree with “max” – we’re making ourselves into a nation of lawyers and bureaucrats. We produce nothing, make nothing, and do nothing of real value.

    Of course that’s an exaggeration – there is plenty we still do, but that is the basic gist of where we’re heading. In some respect we’ve become a giant leach sucking off the real value of the world. We have substituted “administration” for substance, where we only manage and consume what others create.

    I don’t know know the answer, but I do know that not everyone can be a hedge fund manager or a journalist. I also know we can do better, but at the moment we seem to be slowly and not-so-slowly self destructing ourselves.

    There was a time not so long ago when basic jobs that didn’t require degrees were respected and paid reasonable wages. I suspect we’ll know we’re healthy once more when that is true again.

  58. TJ Says:

    What max said.

    So let’s see, the top four requirements for people would be food, shelter, energy, and transport. So let’s give up on transport, seeing as how we can still do that after a fashion, and find something completely new for Michigan to do, a product that people in the U.S want and we can export all over the world.

    I know, we can restart the world-wide market for tulips!

  59. Myles SG Says:

    Interestingly enough, Wagoner was at Harvard (MBA).

    The problem with him wasn’t just that he was incompetent; that could have been allayed by good subordinates. He was an enervate, soft-touch weakling too.

    He couldn’t face down the stakeholders. He didn’t have the survival instinct. And so he must go.

    I wish Henderson all the best. He’ll need all the toughness he can get.

  60. Myles SG Says:

    There really is only one thing you can do with weaklings like Wagoner; give them the boot.

    The kid never toughened up.

  61. Myles SG Says:

    Frankly, I don’t think Wagoner ever deserved any respect. He was no Übermensch.

  62. Matt Fahrner Says:

    Here’s an “avocat du diable” question:

    The administration is wisely trying to avoid an extended period of state-directed management of industrial firms producing consumer goods

    Why?

    It’s actually that I don’t think this is true, but it’s funny that we say things like this as a “mantra”. Things like “the market knows best”, “market systems are best”, etc, etc.

    The implicit assumption is socialism is bad/evil. How do we know this? The Soviet Union. However the Soviet Union wasn’t evil because it was socialist, it was evil because it was a totalitarian state.

    Still in the end I agree with Matthew that the ideal is not to have state owned, however I do question the basis for our assumed “postulates”. I think we’ve said these things for so long we’ve forgotten why they’re true, or more importantly, why they might not be true.

  63. soullite Says:

    I’m more concerned with the millions of people Obama just put out of a job, and the millions more he’s going to leave pensionless and with slashed wages while asking his wall-street friends for absolutely nothing but drinks in the oval office.

  64. Max424 Says:

    Re: Socialism

    Pete Rozelle forced socialism on some single digit millionaires and presto, billionaires emerged out the end.

    Labor got screwed to.

  65. Linus Says:

    I don’t get it. The US doesn’t make enough stuff but makes too much stuff?

  66. Linus Says:

    It also needs to buy less stuff of the more and less stuff it makes.

  67. Benny Lava Says:

    I know, we can restart the world-wide market for tulips!

    Actually TJ, you are decades behind the mark. Michigan has been working on breaking into the tulip market for decades:

    http://holland.org/

    Suck on it!

  68. AxelDC Says:

    The US auto industry has been a delayed sunset industry for decades now. The Obama plan is to avoid an immediate crash and set up a cushioned landing. It’s better for people to walk away from a grounded plane than to have it crash spectacularly into the dirt. Either way, the plane will never fly again, but at least the passengers are not killed in the fallout.

    Detroit sealed its fate when it cast its lot with the SUV. Once the SUV became economically unviable, the US auto industry was going to go down the same path it did in the 1970s, but this time much closer to economic death.

  69. Ming Says:

    There is a worldwide glut of cars right now. And the major car companies are throughly multi-national; there is nothing particularly “American” about Chrysler, compared with Toyota. One thing the global economy does not need is every country subsidizing its own car companies. Obama is very wise to be very suspicious of perpetual federal help for GM and Chrysler. For one thing, it would give people like Bill O’Reilly a legitimate beef against Obama, and the right wing would love that. There is so much that Detroit auto workers could be doing that would really help people, like rebuilding our crumbling infrastructure (of which Detroit has plenty).

  70. korax Says:

    Socialism? Perhaps. I suggest readers look up the case of Conrail. In the ’70s the feds basically took over the remains of Penn Central, and then with a combination of direct investment and regulatory reform, Conrail turned into a profit making corporation. Conrail was later sold off to the private sector.


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