New York is publishing a series of IM chats between various folks about the election. I did one this afternoon with Katie Roiphe that you can read here and I’ll be paired tomorrow with Garrett Graff.
A point about the “undecideds” that you mention in the conversation. For a long time, I too was skeptical that anyone could be undecided at a time like this, when the issues were so clear and the differences between the two candidates so stark.
Then I talked to my mother, a lifelong Republican (who lives in Florida, no less), and who I would have expected to already be casting her vote for John McCain right now. But, she’s not ready to do it. She knows what is facing this country, and doesn’t have confidence in John McCain to do what is needed to address our problems.
Now, she isn’t ready to pull the lever for Barack Obama yet. She may get there. Or, she may stay home on November 4th. Or, she may decide that she’s more afraid of Barack ‘Hussein’ Obama (yeah, I know — can’t pick your family) than of Sarah ‘You Betcha’ Palin.
She is genuinely undecided. And she is so skeptical of politicians and the media, that she doesn’t believe it when I send her articles about things like the differences between McCain and Obama’s tax plans, etc.
So, she is a low-information, uninformed but highly opinionated voter with the choice of a Republican candidate she isn’t comfortable with or a Democratic candidate who “scares her.”
“M.Y.: It’s better for the news biz if the race returns to being a nail-biter, so I kind of suspect that McCain will be proclaimed the winner no matter what happens.”
I’d say that seems exactly right to me.
70/30 this happens: As long as McCain doesn’t take a dump on the stage he will be almost unanimously proclaimed the winner by the heads, the polls will move in his direction leaving Obama with a 2-4 point lead rather than a 6-7 point lead, the race will continue to tighten as we get to the next debate, and media execs will get a collective boner.
October 7th, 2008 at 5:50 pm
“New York is publishing a series of IM chats between various folks about the election.”
Cities have no business publishing IM chats.
They should stick to governance.
No third term.
October 7th, 2008 at 5:54 pm
“I’m feeling pretty confident about the election at this point.”
NOOOOOOO.
October 7th, 2008 at 6:00 pm
“I’m feeling pretty confident about the election at this point – NOOOOOOO.”
But on the bright side, Katie Roiphe’s nephew is going to become a lawyer instead of an investment banker…
October 7th, 2008 at 6:14 pm
Dude, what is next, they’re going to start publishing the text message conversations you guys have on Friday nights?
Speaking of which, aren’t you getting a little long in the tooth … where is the next crop of whippersnappers?
October 7th, 2008 at 6:16 pm
Matt -
A point about the “undecideds” that you mention in the conversation. For a long time, I too was skeptical that anyone could be undecided at a time like this, when the issues were so clear and the differences between the two candidates so stark.
Then I talked to my mother, a lifelong Republican (who lives in Florida, no less), and who I would have expected to already be casting her vote for John McCain right now. But, she’s not ready to do it. She knows what is facing this country, and doesn’t have confidence in John McCain to do what is needed to address our problems.
Now, she isn’t ready to pull the lever for Barack Obama yet. She may get there. Or, she may stay home on November 4th. Or, she may decide that she’s more afraid of Barack ‘Hussein’ Obama (yeah, I know — can’t pick your family) than of Sarah ‘You Betcha’ Palin.
She is genuinely undecided. And she is so skeptical of politicians and the media, that she doesn’t believe it when I send her articles about things like the differences between McCain and Obama’s tax plans, etc.
So, she is a low-information, uninformed but highly opinionated voter with the choice of a Republican candidate she isn’t comfortable with or a Democratic candidate who “scares her.”
October 7th, 2008 at 6:28 pm
Cities have no business publishing IM chats.
I assume this is Petey being facetious, and not simply incredibly stupid. At least, I sure hope that’s the case.
October 7th, 2008 at 6:29 pm
“I assume this is Petey being facetious”
Not about the “no third term” business…
October 7th, 2008 at 6:54 pm
“M.Y.: It’s better for the news biz if the race returns to being a nail-biter, so I kind of suspect that McCain will be proclaimed the winner no matter what happens.”
I’d say that seems exactly right to me.
70/30 this happens: As long as McCain doesn’t take a dump on the stage he will be almost unanimously proclaimed the winner by the heads, the polls will move in his direction leaving Obama with a 2-4 point lead rather than a 6-7 point lead, the race will continue to tighten as we get to the next debate, and media execs will get a collective boner.
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